Tuesday's football predictions today span five continents and four competitions, but the narrative is remarkably consistent: form disparities are starker than head-to-head records suggest, and defensive stability — or the lack of it — will decide every tie. Arsenal, Real Madrid and Toluca arrive in exceptional shape; Liverpool and Riga's recent records tell a story of vulnerability that their visitors will be keen to exploit.
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1. Liverpool v Tottenham
Liverpool v 
Tottenham - 2026-03-15: Liverpool 1-1 Tottenham
- 2025-12-20: Tottenham 1-2 Liverpool
- 2025-04-27: Liverpool 5-1 Tottenham
- 2025-02-06: Liverpool 4-0 Tottenham
- 2025-01-08: Tottenham 1-0 Liverpool
- 2024-12-22: Tottenham 3-6 Liverpool
This EFL Cup tie at Anfield carries the weight of history and recent volatility in equal measure. Liverpool's last five reads DWWDD—a form line that masks underlying rhythm; they've conceded just 1.0 per game but scored only 1.6, suggesting defensive solidity without clinical edge. Tottenham arrive in worse shape, with DDLWL and an alarming 1.2 conceded per game against 1.0 scored—a team struggling to control matches.
Yet the head-to-head record complicates easy prediction. These sides have played six times recently, averaging 4.2 goals per game. Liverpool's dominance is undeniable: they've won four of those six and put five past Tottenham in April 2025 and four in February 2025. But Tottenham took a 1-0 win in January and drew 1-1 in March—evidence that Anfield doesn't guarantee anything. The December 2025 fixture ended 2-1 to Liverpool, a lower-scoring affair than the season before.
At 17°C under overcast skies, Anfield will be a tight, physical arena. Liverpool's defensive record this season is their advantage; Tottenham's leaky rearguard their Achilles heel. The question isn't whether these teams can score—the recent meetings prove they can in clusters—but whether Tottenham's fragile shape can withstand Liverpool's home intensity.
Our full read on this one is on the board.
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2. Ipswich v Arsenal
Ipswich v 
Arsenal - 2025-04-20: Ipswich 0-4 Arsenal
- 2024-12-27: Arsenal 1-0 Ipswich
Arsenal arrive at Portman Road in almost flawless form: WWWWW, with just 0.2 goals conceded per game. That defensive record is among the elite, while their 1.8 scored per game shows an attack clicking without being explosive. Ipswich, by contrast, sit on WLLWW—two wins bookending three defeats—and a concerning 2.2 goals conceded per game against 2.0 scored. The asymmetry is stark.
The head-to-head record, thin though it is with only two recent meetings, tells a one-sided story. Arsenal won 4-0 in April 2025, then 1-0 in December 2024. Ipswich haven't beaten Arsenal in this sequence and haven't scored more than one goal across their last two meetings. At 18°C with overcast conditions, Portman Road will be a testing ground for Arsenal's away record, but the data suggests their defensive discipline will hold.
Ipswich have a fighting spirit—their two wins in the last five suggest they can perform—but they lack the consistency and defensive organisation that Arsenal's current setup demands. Arsenal's concession of just 0.2 per game is the kind of metric that compounds advantage; teams chasing the game often concede more, and Ipswich will likely be forced into that position.
This EFL Cup fixture leans toward the visiting Arsenal, whose form is simply on another level right now.
Our complete take is available in our full analysis.
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3. Elche v Real Madrid
Elche v 
Real Madrid - 2026-03-14: Real Madrid 4-1 Elche
- 2025-11-23: Elche 2-2 Real Madrid
- 2023-02-15: Real Madrid 4-0 Elche
- 2022-10-19: Elche 0-3 Real Madrid
- 2022-01-23: Real Madrid 2-2 Elche
- 2022-01-20: Elche 1-2 Real Madrid
La Liga's gulf in class is on full display here. Real Madrid have won four of their last five (WWLWW), scoring 2.8 per game while conceding just 0.8. Elche sit on DLLLD—a single draw in five games—and leak 2.6 per game against a meagre 1.2 scored. The form gulf is immense.
The head-to-head record over six meetings shows Real Madrid's dominance clearly: they've won four, drawn two, and scored at least four goals in two separate fixtures (the 4-1 in March 2026 and 4-0 in February 2023). They've never scored fewer than one goal against Elche in this recent sequence. Elche's only respite came in the two draws—2-2 in November 2025 and 2-2 in January 2022—but those are outliers in a relationship dominated by Real Madrid's superior firepower.
At the Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero on a clear 24°C evening, Elche will try to be compact and hope for scraps on the counter. But their defensive frailty—2.6 conceded per game—meets an opponent who has averaged 3.8 goals across these six meetings. Real Madrid's recent precision, scoring 2.8 per game, suggests they'll cut through Elche's vulnerabilities with ease.
This fixture presents the kind of probability skew where Real Madrid's quality overwhelms.
Detailed analysis is on the site.
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4. Puebla v Toluca
Puebla v 
Toluca - 2026-01-31: Puebla 0-0 Toluca
- 2025-09-14: Toluca 3-1 Puebla
- 2025-03-15: Puebla 0-3 Toluca
- 2024-10-23: Toluca 5-0 Puebla
- 2024-01-27: Puebla 1-1 Toluca
- 2023-11-01: Toluca 0-1 Puebla
Toluca arrive at the Estadio Cuauhtémoc in frightening form: WWWWW, with 3.0 goals scored per game and just 0.4 conceded. That is elite attacking efficiency married to near-impermeability. Puebla sit on WLWWL—more volatile—with 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded, suggesting a side that creates chances but also leaves itself open.
The head-to-head record is instructive. Toluca have won three of the last six Liga MX meetings, with a 5-0 demolition in October 2024 and a 3-1 victory in September 2025. Puebla won once (1-0 in November 2023) and have drawn twice. The recent sequence shows Puebla's only respite against this opponent came in the 0-0 draw this January—a rare moment where they kept Toluca at bay. But that was an exception; in the other five meetings, Toluca scored at least three times or Puebla found the net only once.
At 20°C in overcast conditions, this is a Copa-style clash where Toluca's defensive solidity—0.4 goals conceded per game—and their prolific attack will be formidable. Puebla will need to be tactically tight and clinical, two things their recent form doesn't guarantee. Toluca's five straight wins speak of a side in command of their season.
The full breakdown is ready for review.
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5. Super Nova v Riga
Super Nova v 
Riga - 2026-05-24: Riga 3-0 Super Nova
- 2026-04-14: Super Nova 1-4 Riga
- 2025-08-30: Super Nova 2-6 Riga
- 2025-06-22: Riga 2-0 Super Nova
- 2025-05-01: Super Nova 1-5 Riga
- 2025-03-06: Riga 2-0 Super Nova
This Virsliga encounter at Jana Skredela stadions tells a tale of two trajectories in opposite directions. Riga have won two of their last five (DDWLW) and scored 2.0 per game while conceding 1.8. Super Nova sit on WWDDL—mixed form—but crucially, they score just 0.6 per game and concede 0.4. Super Nova are defensively solid but offensively anaemic.
The head-to-head record is damning for Super Nova. Riga have won five of the last six meetings, including a 4-1 win in April 2026, a 6-2 thrashing in August 2025, and 5-1 victory in May 2025. Super Nova's only victory in this sequence came in March 2025, 1-0. Across the six meetings, the average is 4.3 goals per game—a high bar for a Super Nova team that averages 0.6 scored.
At 17°C under overcast skies, Super Nova's lack of attacking output is their critical weakness. They can defend, and they have on occasion: three of their last five matches ended in draw or low-scoring results. But Riga's 2.0 goals-per-game average, paired with their historical dominance in this fixture, suggests Super Nova will be forced to defend passively. That passive approach works until Riga's quality breaks through—which the recent record suggests happens regularly and decisively.
Full details of our football predictions today are on the board.